BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
The PSD selected Governor Caiado as its presidential candidate, President Lula will hold a cabinet meeting, and today is the deadline for Lula to sign into law the bill that increases paternity leave to 20 days by 2029
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 31 Mar 2026
The PSD has announced Ronaldo Caiado as its candidate for president. Today, Caiado is expected to resign as governor of Goiás. Today, President Lula (PT) will meet with his cabinet. During the meeting, the administration will conduct a review of the Lula III government with the aim of aligning it...
Popularity vs. elections and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 30 Mar 2026
The pace of work in Brasília will be reduced due to the holiday (Good Friday). It will still be a busy week, with governors stepping down, cabinet reshuffles, and party affiliations. The party-switching window ends on April 3. The deadline for mandatory resignations is April 4. The government may...
There will be reduced activity in Brasília this week due to the holiday, the party-switching window closes on Friday, and the mandatory resignation period ends on Saturday
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 30 Mar 2026
The week will see reduced activity in Brasília due to the holiday (Good Friday), with no significant deliberations expected in the plenary sessions of the Lower House or the Senate. Two key dates this week stand out in the electoral calendar. The party-switching window closes on Friday, April 3. ...
The STF overturned Justice Mendonça’s decision to extend the INSS CPMI, the Confaz should meet today to discuss fuel pricing, and the party-switching window ends on April 3
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 27 Mar 2026
By eight votes to two, the Supreme Federal Court (STF) overturned the single-justice ruling by Justice André Mendonça that had extended the work of the joint congressional inquiry committee (CPMI) on the INSS. Justice Flávio Dino opened the dissenting opinion, arguing that the matter falls within...
The STF established criteria for the payment of perks to judges, the Court will also review Justice Mendonça’s decision to extend the INSS CPMI, and the Confaz should meet today to discuss a reduction in the ICMS on diesel
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 26 Mar 2026
Yesterday, the Supreme Federal Court (STF) established criteria for the payment of indemnity allowances—commonly referred to as “perks”—to judges and members of the Public Prosecutor’s Office. Certain indemnity payments were authorized up to a limit of 35% of the constitutional salary cap, which ...
The STF is set to review Justice Mendonça’s decision to extend the INSS CPMI, Hugo Motta outlined the current priorities of the Lower House, and the TSE declared former Rio Governor Cláudio Castro ineligible
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 25 Mar 2026
The full bench of the Supreme Federal Court (STF) is set to review tomorrow an injunction granted by Justice André Mendonça extending the INSS Joint Parliamentary Committee of Inquiry (CPMI). The committee was initially scheduled to conclude on March 28. The President of the Lower House, Hugo Mot...
Justice Mendonça has ordered Alcolumbre to extend the INSS CPMI, Paraná Governor Ratinho Júnior has withdrawn from the presidential race, and the TSE is set to rule on the case against Rio Governor Cláudio Castro
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 24 Mar 2026
Supreme Federal Court (STF) Justice André Mendonça has ordered Senate President Davi Alcolumbre (União-AP) to extend the INSS Joint Parliamentary Committee of Inquiry (CPMI). The committee had originally been scheduled to conclude on March 28. Paraná Governor Ratinho Júnior (PSD) has withdrawn fr...
Truckers risk on the radar and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 Mar 2026
The Office of the Prosecutor General (PGR) may issue a position on a request for house arrest for former President Jair Bolsonaro. The PSD is expected to define its presidential candidate. On Friday, Confaz will discuss reducing the ICMS tax on diesel imports. This is the final week of activity f...
The PGR is expected to issue an opinion on Bolsonaro’s request for house arrest, this is the final week of activity for the INSS CPMI, and the PSD may select its presidential pre-candidate tomorrow
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 Mar 2026
Justice Alexandre de Moraes of the Supreme Federal Court (STF) requested on Friday that the Office of the Prosecutor General (PGR) issue an opinion on the request for house arrest filed by former President Jair Bolsonaro’s legal team. The justice did not set a deadline for the PGR’s response, whi...