BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
Right-wing governors announced a “Peace Consortium” against organized crime, next Friday the STF will adjudicate the appeals filed by Bolsonaro, and the benchmark interest rate should remain at 15%
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 31 Oct 2025
Right-wing governors announced yesterday, October 30, during a press conference, the creation of the “Peace Consortium”, which will involve the exchange of experiences, actions, and equipment to combat organized crime. The major police operation in Rio de Janeiro against organized crime will cont...
Senator Braga presented a new report on MP 1,304, the House approved the bill that provides a tax incentive program for the chemical industry, and Senator Calheiros submitted a bill that increases taxes on fintechs
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 30 Oct 2025
Senator Eduardo Braga (MDB-AM) presented yesterday a new report on Provisional Measure 1,304/25. The new text includes battery storage systems under the Special Incentive Regime for Infrastructure Development (Reidi), maintaining a limit of R$1 billion for the granting of tax benefits but extendi...
A massive police operation in Rio left more than 60 dead, latest polls show 30% of voters cited violence as their top concern, and the Chief of Staff and Minister Lewandowski are traveling to Rio to meet with Governor Castro
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 29 Oct 2025
A massive police operation against the Comando Vermelho criminal faction in Rio de Janeiro on Tuesday left more than 60 people dead. According to Governor Cláudio Castro (PL), 81 suspects were arrested. The raid is being described as the deadliest police operation in Rio’s history. According to t...
Lula faces two pending issues upon his return from Asia, Senator Calheiros should submit his report on the income tax exemption bill, and Anfavea reps will meet with the VP to discuss semiconductor shortages in Brazil
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 28 Oct 2025
President Lula returns to Brazil today after a seven-day trip to Asia. Upon his return, he faces two pending issues. The first concerns alternative measures to offset the expiration of MP 1,303/25 and the second involves choosing a replacement for Justice Luís Roberto Barroso on the Supreme Feder...
The Lula-Trump meeting and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 27 Oct 2025
President Lula is returning to Brazil this week and may announce his appointee to replace Justice Luís Roberto Barroso on the Supreme Federal Court (STF). Former President Jair Bolsonaro and seven other defendants convicted for the attempted coup are filing appeals before the STF. The Senate’s Ec...
Lula met with Trump on Sunday, today is the deadline for Bolsonaro to file a motion for clarification, and the House will hold a concentrated voting session for important bills
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 27 Oct 2025
President Lula met with U.S. President Donald Trump. The meeting went well, and Brazil’s business community viewed it with moderate optimism. The main outcome was a tariff truce. Today, October 27, marks the deadline for former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) and seven other defendants convicted by...
Lula will meet with Trump on Sunday, the government should submit revenue-boosting bills to Congress, and the deadline for Bolsonaro to file a motion for clarification expires on Monday
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 24 Oct 2025
President Lula will meet with U.S. President Donald Trump on Sunday in Malaysia. The Brazilian government hopes to make progress in negotiations over the sanctions imposed on Brazil. In the coming days, the government will send Congress a bill to tax betting companies, fintechs, and interest on e...
The STF published the ruling that convicted Bolsonaro, the House approved a PEC that grants lawmakers oversight authority over autonomous agencies, and the Senate will hold a public hearing on income tax reform
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 Oct 2025
The Supreme Federal Court (STF) yesterday published the ruling of its First Panel, which convicted former President Jair Bolsonaro and seven other defendants of attempting a coup d’état. This opens a five-day window for filing motions for clarification, which seek to address specific points in th...
The government should submit two bills to increase revenue, urgent status was approved for the bill prohibiting airlines from charging for carry-on luggage, and Lula is expected to announce the next STF justice after his trip
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 22 Oct 2025
Finance Minister Fernando Haddad (PT) said the government will send two new bills to Congress restoring key points from Provisional Measure (MP) 1,303/25, which was struck down by the Lower House. According to him, one bill will address spending cuts, while the other will cover taxation of fintec...