BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
The right's agenda in Congress and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 26 Jan 2026
Lower House President Hugo Motta (Republicans–PB) is meeting with party leaders to define the legislative agenda for the year. São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas (Republicans) is scheduled to meet with former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) on Thursday, January 29. On the economic front, attent...
Despite Lula's edge the election is likely to be tight and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 20 Jan 2026
Two new presidential succession polls will be released this week, one by AtlasIntel and another by Instituto Futura. The World Economic Forum takes place in Davos, Switzerland, without the meaningful participation of Brazilian authorities. The European Parliament is set to vote on two proposals r...
Master and Maduro: the opposition's bets and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 12 Jan 2026
President Lula (PT) will sign, this week, the 2026 Federal Budget and the bill creating the Management Committee of the Goods and Services Tax (IBS). Both texts were approved by the National Congress in December. Two presidential election polls are set to be released—by Boas Ideias Inteligência e...
The Joint Budget Committee should vote on the 2026 Budget, Congress should recess today and return on February 2, and the Mercosur-EU agreement may be signed next year
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 19 Dec 2025
Today, the Joint Budget Committee is expected to vote on the 2026 Budget Bill (PLOA 2026). The meeting was originally scheduled for yesterday, but the budget rapporteur, Representative Isnaldo Bulhões (MDB-AL), requested additional time to adjust the budget text. After approval by the committee, ...
The Senate approved the Sentencing Bill, Congress should vote on the Federal Budget on Friday, and the Minister of Tourism stepped down from his position
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 18 Dec 2025
The Senate floor approved yesterday the Sentencing Bill (PL 2,162/23), which reduces the sentences of those convicted for the January 8, 2023 attacks. The bill now moves to presidential consideration. Congress will hold a joint session on Friday morning, December 19, to vote on the 2026 Annual B...
The Lower House approved the bill on the Management Committee for the IBS tax, the Senate will discuss the Sentencing Bill, and the first poll since Flavio was chosen as Bolsonaro’s successor was published
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Dec 2025
The Lower House concluded yesterday the vote on the remaining amendments to the bill regulating the Management Committee and the second phase of the Tax Reform (PLP 108/24). The bill now moves to presidential sanction. Also today, the Senate’s Constitution and Justice Committee will debate the Se...
The Lower House set this week’s voting agenda, the STF approved the resumption of the investigation into the Banco Master fraud scheme, and the STF is expected to vote on the demarcation of indigenous lands
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 16 Dec 2025
Following a meeting of party leaders, the Lower House set this week’s voting agenda. The agenda includes a bill providing for a linear cut in tax incentives, which is a priority for the Ministry of Finance. Yesterday, Supreme Federal Court (STF) Justice Dias Toffoli ordered the resumption of inve...
The race for the strategic vote in 2026 and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 15 Dec 2025
This is the final week of legislative activity in the National Congress before the holiday recess and it comes with a packed agenda. In the Lower House, highlights include the review of the IBS Management Committee, the linear cut to tax benefits, and the Anti-Faction Law. In the Senate, the Sent...
This is the final week of legislative activity before the recess, the House may vote on the tax benefits bill, and Lula will attend the Mercosur meeting on December 20
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 15 Dec 2025
This is the final week of legislative activity in the National Congress, with a packed agenda. According to the President of Congress, Davi Alcolumbre (União–AP), Congress may vote on the 2026 Federal Budget on Wednesday or Thursday. The Lower House may vote on a bill providing for a 10% across-t...