Trzaskowski maintains a stable lead, but uncertainty is high. The prospects for institutional reforms and parliamentary elections.

POLAND - Report 11 Apr 2025 by Jan Hagemejer

This report addresses recent poll results, discussing the potential outcome of the elections' first and second rounds. We discuss the quality of the poll results based on recent results and historical outcomes, hidden supporters, and the role of the undecided. We also describe the impact of recent global events related to Trump's tariffs on the potential swings of support. We outline some reforms to the judicial system planned for introduction in the event of an election outcome favorable to the current government. Last but not least, we discuss the potential outcomes of the future parliamentary elections.

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