Moldovan presidential election and EU referendum analysis

RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS - Report 23 Oct 2024 by Alex Teddy, Alexei Panin and Javier Espadas

Moldova has been labelled by observers a “geopolitical swing State”, at the crossroads between the West and Russia. Last weekend’s events confirmed there is a clear social divide over the future of this small former Soviet Republic bordering Ukraine, which constitutes another less-known scenario of Russian-Western competition for influence, reminiscent of pre-2014 Ukraine.

On October 20, the first round of the Moldovan presidential election as well as a crucial constitutional referendum were held in the former Soviet Republic. With a turnout just above 50%, incumbent President Maia Sandu won 42.49% of the vote, followed by Kremlin-backed Alexandr Stoianoglo, the former general prosecutor of Moldova, with 25.95% of the vote. Since neither of them received 50% of the votes, both candidates will now face each other in a highly contested second round, scheduled on November 3.

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