GULF WEEKLY: Oman mediates US-Iran talks, Qatar signs major LNG deals, Kuwait reshuffles cabinet
A skimmable summary overlaid with our analysis and links. Headlines:
* Oman mediated US-Iran talks, and the market-implied risk of US strikes this month halved to 30%.
* The Saudi flash GDP reading showed non-oil growth slowing to a two-year low of 3.2% in Q4.
* The UAE’s PMI rose to 55.9, the highest in nearly a year, but Saudi Arabia’s fell to a 6-month low of 56.3.
* Firms in the DIFC surged by 28%, and Musk’s Boring Company will connect it to the Dubai Mall by 2028.
* EGA met with investors and is leading towards an IPO in Abu Dhabi.
* US ethics concerns were raised over Sheikh Tahnoun's $500m investment in Trump’s crypto firm.
* Qatar signed 5m t/yr in LNG contracts with Japanese and Malaysian firms; Germany also wants more.
* QIA is tripling its commitment to locally-based VC funds to $3bn, with five more opening in Doha.
* Kuwait’s cabinet reshuffle included the finance, foreign and economic affairs portfolios.
* Kuwait is in talks with US shale companies and will also invite foreign firms to develop offshore fields.
* Oman’s VAT revenue in 2025 came in 9% above budget, while corporate income tax was in line.
* OQ and KPI are pressing ahead with the Duqm petrochemicals complex, despite Sabic’s withdrawal.
* Bahrain’s crown prince met with Kuwait’s Amir, which might facilitate fiscal support.
* The surge in gold prices means that Lebanon’s central bank gold reserves are worth double its GDP.
* Databank updates: Saudi GDP, Oman forecasts, Abu Dhabi inflation, PMIs, Oman tourism.
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