GULF WEEKLY: Dubai tourism and Abu Dhabi GDP boom, Kuwait budgets a huge deficit, Omani equities surge

GULF COUNTRIES - Report 13 Feb 2026 by Justin Alexander

A skimmable summary overlaid with our analysis and links. Headlines:

* There were reports that OPEC+ might be leaning towards an April production increase.
* Market expectations of US strikes on Iran declined further, despite Trump's sending another carrier.
* Saudi Arabia appointed Fahad al-Saif as investment minister, replacing Khalid al-Falih.
* PIF held its annual private sector forum, including discussions about gigaproject priorities.
* Dubai saw a record 2m tourists in December as Europeans drove a 5% increase in 2025.
* Abu Dhabi’s GDP growth reached a 3-year high in Q3, including 7.6% for the non-oil sector.
* Moody’s lifted the UAE’s banking system outlook to Positive in response to growth and reforms.
* IHC is pooling its financial services assets, including Lunate, into a new company, Judan Financial.
* Qatar recorded a -1% of GDP deficit in 2025 as spending rose by 5.5% and revenue fell by -1.5%.
* The IMF Article IV mission to Qatar praised its fiscal management but encouraged launching a VAT.
* Kuwait is budgeting a huge -20% of GDP deficit on a $57 oil assumption and 6% spending growth.
* Oman’s equity market surged by 12% and is up 70% from its 2025 low on MSCI EM upgrade hopes.
* Bahrain’s oil production is going through a weak patch, -13% below its 2025 average in Dec & Jan.
* Bahrain held a strategic dialogue with the UAE, and the crown prince met with both MBZ and MBS.
* AirAsia announced details of its new hub in Bahrain, which will start flights in June.
* Gulf states criticized Israel’s expanded powers in the West Bank to buy land and demolish buildings.
* Databank updates: Kuwait and Qatar fiscal, Abu Dhabi and Dubai GDP, monthly oil and other data.

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