Government defeat in Buenos Aires Province: Political and economic implications

ARGENTINA - Report 12 Sep 2025 by Joaquin Cottani

The ruling coalition suffered a 13-point loss in Buenos Aires Province, a stronghold of Peronism. The markets reacted sharply: equities fell up to 25%, bonds weakened, and country risk surpassed 1,000 basis points. Inflation stabilization has come at the cost of recessionary pressures, weak reserves, and rising doubts about policy sustainability. The electoral outcome undermines expectations of a political mandate to advance reforms and may force a re-calibration of priorities ahead of the October 26 legislative elections.

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